Altαir Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 Bah. Plain luck, or elaborate scheme. Either way, some force of nature let him get away with it. And though some may hate it, all you can say is too bad and move on. Nothing last forever. I'll bet you when he dies we all will cock our heads to the name, "Derren Brown". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 Plain luck. 1 in 14 million. 1 / 14,000,000. 0.000007% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altαir Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 Plain luck. 1 in 14 million. 1 / 14' date='000,000[/i']. 0.000007% chance. Exactly. No mathamatics can disprove luck. You can try, but you fail. EDIT: Well, only if there's a 0% chance, then mathamatics can own luck. But not in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 But he knew beforehand that he was right, even before the lottery place said the numbers. Or at least he acted as if he knew he was right. And if it was luck, why'd he give us a bullshit theory about averages? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altαir Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 But he knew beforehand that he was right' date=' even before the lottery place said the numbers. Or at least he acted as if he knew he was right. And if it was luck, why'd he give us a bullshit theory about averages?[/quote'] He tried to make himself look smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kizzi Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 This thread is hilarious because no-one has actually seen the episode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 This thread is hilarious because no-one has actually seen the episode. I saw him "predict" the lotto, but I haven't seen what he said on Friday. Is it on YouTube? Provide a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felix Posted September 13, 2009 Author Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 I thought it was funny when he was talking about it. Statistically if you sit in front of the TV an hour before you watch the lottery, you are more likely to die beofore it than you are to win when it's shown. Basically what happened, or so says, he started off thinking about a human's random judgement, something which He can predict. He then went about trying to predict the random choices of a machine. He was stumped for a while but remembered something he'd read a while a go; there's this story about a guy giving away a cow (it's an old story). The people who wanted the cow had to guess the cow’s weight and the person who got closest was given the cow. Afterwards when the cow had been given away, the man selling the cow took an average off the guesses (adding them up and devising by how many guesses there were), the average was exactly equal to the cow's weight. This is known as The Wisdom of Crowds, collectively we make decisions better than we would on our own. He then set about getting a group of people together and using the same tactics. He let them look at past records for which numbers have been in the past year or so and let them guess which numbers will come next; they got 1 number right. He then tried them doing it without the draw of winning or something, to see weather or not that would get in the way, I forget how many they got that time. Next he showed them how to use a technique called "Automatic Righting". Putting them into a trance and allowing to right from there, a sub- conscience decision which I assume would be, in a way, more thought out. They did it again and got 3 numbers. Another time and they got 4. The last time they did it was an hour before the lottery they would use for the live broadcast and got all 6. I think it's bull sheet really. The cow sure, it's a weight, a fixed number, and you can make a good guess with reasoned certainty. I'm sure them reading past lottery numbers helped make a reasoned decision but not enough to make a difference when there's what, 40+ choices for each number but it's still random, nobody can tell for sure. The averages would all have ended up around the same number. He could have fixed the machine. He explained how he would have done it if he had have done and it made more sense than what I just wrote up there. And now my fingers hurt. Forgive me for spelling and grammatical errors, I wrote it quite quickly and I don't feel like proof reading it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Posted September 13, 2009 Report Share Posted September 13, 2009 Statistically if you sit in front of the TV an hour before you watch the lottery, you are more likely to die beofore it than you are to win when it's shown. I lol'd so hard. The average thing is complete bull. Most people have the ability to guess the relative weight of a cow or the radius of a disk. So obviously when you take the average, it will be relatively close or exact because of common sense. Video overlay. Telling you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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