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Cup of Ace and Pot of Greed


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[b]Cup of Ace (Unlimited Cards in Advanced Format and Traditional Format)[/b]

Cup of Ace's Card Effect: Toss a coin. ● Heads: [url="http://yugioh.wikia.com/wiki/Draw_a_card"]Draw[/url] 2 cards. ● Tails: Your opponent [url="http://yugioh.wikia.com/wiki/Draw_a_card"]draws[/url] 2 cards.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw Two Cards: Fifty Percent.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw Four Cards: Twenty Five Percent.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw Six Cards: Twelve and Half Percent.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw 2 Cards: 50%.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw 4 Cards: 25%.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw 6 Cards: 12.5%.

[b]Pot of Greed (Forbidden Card in Advanced Format and Limited Card in Traditional Format)[/b]

Pot of Greed's Card Effect: [url="http://yugioh.wikia.com/wiki/Draw_a_card"]Draw[/url] 2 cards.

Pot of Greed Percentage of Draw Two Cards: 100 Percent.

Pot of Greed Percentage of Draw 2 Cards: 100%.

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[quote name='Konoe A. Mercury' timestamp='1315524628' post='5501170']
Why is the TC so bad :(

Pot of Greed won't come back, and Cup of Ace isn't good. Period.
[/quote]

[b]Question Below:[/b]

[b]What means "TC" ?[/b]

37 Cards Deck with 3 Cup of Ace is better than 40 Cards Deck.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw 6 Cards: 12.5%.

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[quote name='Icecubezz' timestamp='1315525496' post='5501208']
37 Cards Deck with 3 Cup of Ace is better than 40 Cards Deck.

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw 6 Cards: 12.5%.
[/quote]
If it's [i]not[/i] 100%, it's bad.
LOike I said, 37Card deck w/ legac is better. PoD is better. Upstart is better. Because you have the grantee of drawing at least 1 card.

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[quote name='Icecubezz' timestamp='1315518237' post='5500859']

Cup of Ace Percentage of Draw Two Cards: 50 Percent.

Pot of Greed Percentage of Draw Two Cards: 100 Percent.
[/quote]

[url="http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/YouFailStatisticsForever"]http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/YouFailStatisticsForever[/url]

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As pointed out, math is bull.

Assuming by some miracle you [i]do[/i] get all three Cup of Aces.

Probability of Opponent Drawing 6 cards: 1/8

Probability of Opponent Drawing 4 cards and you Drawing 2: 3/8

Probability of Opponent Drawing 2 cards and you Drawing 4: 3/8

Probability of you Drawing 6 : 1/8


Thus Average Pay Off = 1/8*5 + 3/8*1 - 3/8*3 - 1/8*7 = -1
Thus, this card is a -1.
Since Pot of Greed is a +1, Pot is superior to Ace.

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